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50NL - Bottom Set Multiway

50NL - Bottom Set Multiway

Postby Birkin on Wed Mar 10, 2010 1:50 pm

SB is 13/10/2.7 over 63 hands. Seems to play pretty straightforward so far.
UTG is a pretty standard TAG for this game.

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($10)
SB ($76.70)
BB ($55.10)
UTG ($63.50)
Hero (MP) ($56)
CO ($24.85)

Preflop: Hero is MP with Image, Image
UTG bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 1 fold, SB calls $1.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($6.50) Image, Image, Image (4 players)
SB bets $5, 1 fold, Hero raises $15, 1 fold, SB raises $26.50, Hero?
Birkin
 
Posts: 83
Joined: Sat Apr 04, 2009 9:08 pm

Re: 50NL - Bottom Set Multiway

Postby Shep on Wed Mar 10, 2010 2:18 pm

Theres already about $52 in the pot here which, without any info about player, is definitely enough to risk the $26 to call.

With 7 outs for a house or quads, you're about 27-28% to suck out on a straight.
If he has 99 or TT then you just have to bend over and hope for the 7h.

imo
Shep
 
Posts: 4
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 3:53 pm

Re: 50NL - Bottom Set Multiway

Postby Birkin on Wed Mar 10, 2010 5:41 pm

I'm 99% sure he never has the straight here. I don't think he's ever calling pre with J8.

I also think he's most likely going for a c/r with a hand like QdJd.

I hate my life...
Birkin
 
Posts: 83
Joined: Sat Apr 04, 2009 9:08 pm


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